NanoString Technologies Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.11

NSTGDelisted Stock  USD 4.11  0.22  5.08%   
NanoString Technologies' future price is the expected price of NanoString Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NanoString Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
  
Please specify NanoString Technologies' target price for which you would like NanoString Technologies odds to be computed.

NanoString Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 4.11

The tendency of NanoString Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 4.11 90 days 4.11 
about 16.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NanoString Technologies to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 16.27 (This NanoString Technologies probability density function shows the probability of NanoString Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NanoString Technologies has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NanoString Technologies are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NanoString Technologies is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NanoString Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NanoString Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NanoString Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NanoString Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NanoString Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.114.114.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.903.904.52
Details

NanoString Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NanoString Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NanoString Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NanoString Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NanoString Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

NanoString Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NanoString Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NanoString Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NanoString Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
NanoString Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (159.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.79 M.
NanoString Technologies currently holds about 272.34 M in cash with (128.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.86, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

NanoString Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NanoString Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NanoString Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NanoString Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments196.5 M

NanoString Technologies Technical Analysis

NanoString Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NanoString Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NanoString Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing NanoString Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NanoString Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

NanoString Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many NanoString Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NanoString Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NanoString Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about NanoString Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NanoString Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NanoString Technologies is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
NanoString Technologies has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 34.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (159.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.79 M.
NanoString Technologies currently holds about 272.34 M in cash with (128.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 5.86, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

Other Consideration for investing in NanoString Stock

If you are still planning to invest in NanoString Technologies check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the NanoString Technologies' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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