Northern Superior Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.34

NSUPF Stock  USD 0.34  0.01  2.86%   
Northern Superior's future price is the expected price of Northern Superior instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Northern Superior Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Northern Superior Backtesting, Northern Superior Valuation, Northern Superior Correlation, Northern Superior Hype Analysis, Northern Superior Volatility, Northern Superior History as well as Northern Superior Performance.
  
Please specify Northern Superior's target price for which you would like Northern Superior odds to be computed.

Northern Superior Target Price Odds to finish below 0.34

The tendency of Northern OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.34 90 days 0.34 
about 11.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Northern Superior to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 11.04 (This Northern Superior Resources probability density function shows the probability of Northern OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Northern Superior Resources has a beta of -0.36. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Northern Superior are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Northern Superior Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Northern Superior Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Northern Superior Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Northern Superior

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Superior. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.343.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.303.79
Details

Northern Superior Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Northern Superior is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Northern Superior's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Northern Superior Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Northern Superior within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Northern Superior Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Northern Superior for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Northern Superior can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Superior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northern Superior has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northern Superior has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northern Superior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Northern Superior Resources has accumulated about 6.4 M in cash with (1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Northern Superior Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Northern OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Northern Superior's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Superior's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding70.9 M

Northern Superior Technical Analysis

Northern Superior's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Northern OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Northern Superior Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Northern OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Northern Superior Predictive Forecast Models

Northern Superior's time-series forecasting models is one of many Northern Superior's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Northern Superior's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Northern Superior

Checking the ongoing alerts about Northern Superior for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Northern Superior help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Northern Superior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Northern Superior has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Northern Superior has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Northern Superior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Northern Superior Resources has accumulated about 6.4 M in cash with (1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Northern OTC Stock

Northern Superior financial ratios help investors to determine whether Northern OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Northern with respect to the benefits of owning Northern Superior security.