Nsx (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0352

NSX Stock   0.03  0  6.90%   
Nsx's future price is the expected price of Nsx instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nsx performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nsx Backtesting, Nsx Valuation, Nsx Correlation, Nsx Hype Analysis, Nsx Volatility, Nsx History as well as Nsx Performance.
  
Please specify Nsx's target price for which you would like Nsx odds to be computed.

Nsx Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0352

The tendency of Nsx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.04 
about 9.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nsx to move over  0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 9.66 (This Nsx probability density function shows the probability of Nsx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nsx price to stay between its current price of  0.03  and  0.04  at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.46 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Nsx will likely underperform. Moreover Nsx has an alpha of 1.1168, implying that it can generate a 1.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nsx Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nsx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nsx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.037.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.027.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.037.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.030.03
Details

Nsx Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nsx is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nsx's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nsx, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nsx within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.46
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Nsx Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nsx for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nsx can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nsx is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Nsx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nsx appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Nsx has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 1.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.96 M.
Nsx has accumulated about 2.06 M in cash with (3.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NSX to help African stock exchanges - Windhoek Observer

Nsx Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nsx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nsx's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nsx's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding428.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 M

Nsx Technical Analysis

Nsx's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nsx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nsx. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nsx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nsx Predictive Forecast Models

Nsx's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nsx's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nsx's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nsx

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nsx for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nsx help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nsx is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Nsx has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Nsx appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Nsx has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 1.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.96 M.
Nsx has accumulated about 2.06 M in cash with (3.07 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: NSX to help African stock exchanges - Windhoek Observer

Additional Tools for Nsx Stock Analysis

When running Nsx's price analysis, check to measure Nsx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nsx is operating at the current time. Most of Nsx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nsx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nsx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nsx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.