New Tech (Poland) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.82
| NTC Stock | 0.81 0.01 1.25% |
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New Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 0.82
The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.82 after 90 days |
| 0.81 | 90 days | 0.82 | about 13.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Tech to stay under 0.82 after 90 days from now is about 13.52 (This New Tech Capital probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Tech Capital price to stay between its current price of 0.81 and 0.82 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon New Tech has a beta of 0.24. This indicates as returns on the market go up, New Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding New Tech Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally New Tech Capital has an alpha of 0.0521, implying that it can generate a 0.0521 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Tech Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Tech Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0053 |
New Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Tech Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Tech Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| New Tech Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| New Tech Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
New Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Float | 5.1 M |
New Tech Technical Analysis
New Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Tech Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Tech Predictive Forecast Models
New Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Tech Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Tech Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Tech Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| New Tech Capital has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| New Tech Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis
When running New Tech's price analysis, check to measure New Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Tech is operating at the current time. Most of New Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.