Aberdeen Tax Free Incm Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.99
| NTFAX Fund | USD 9.02 0.02 0.22% |
Aberdeen |
Aberdeen Tax-free Target Price Odds to finish over 8.99
The tendency of Aberdeen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 8.99 in 90 days |
| 9.02 | 90 days | 8.99 | about 22.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberdeen Tax-free to stay above $ 8.99 in 90 days from now is about 22.2 (This Aberdeen Tax Free Incm probability density function shows the probability of Aberdeen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberdeen Tax Free price to stay between $ 8.99 and its current price of $9.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aberdeen Tax Free Incm has a beta of -0.0677. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aberdeen Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aberdeen Tax Free Incm is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aberdeen Tax Free Incm has an alpha of 0.0192, implying that it can generate a 0.0192 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aberdeen Tax-free Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aberdeen Tax-free
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberdeen Tax Free. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aberdeen Tax-free Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberdeen Tax-free is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberdeen Tax-free's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberdeen Tax Free Incm, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberdeen Tax-free within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Aberdeen Tax-free Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberdeen Tax-free for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberdeen Tax Free can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Aberdeen Tax Free maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Aberdeen Tax-free Technical Analysis
Aberdeen Tax-free's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberdeen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberdeen Tax Free Incm. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberdeen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aberdeen Tax-free Predictive Forecast Models
Aberdeen Tax-free's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberdeen Tax-free's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberdeen Tax-free's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aberdeen Tax Free
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberdeen Tax-free for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberdeen Tax Free help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of 0.0% | |
| Aberdeen Tax Free maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Aberdeen Mutual Fund
Aberdeen Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberdeen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberdeen with respect to the benefits of owning Aberdeen Tax-free security.
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