Naturelgaz Sanayi (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.89
| NTGAZ Stock | TRY 6.28 0.10 1.62% |
Naturelgaz |
Naturelgaz Sanayi Target Price Odds to finish over 8.89
The tendency of Naturelgaz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 8.89 or more in 90 days |
| 6.28 | 90 days | 8.89 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Naturelgaz Sanayi to move over 8.89 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Naturelgaz Sanayi ve probability density function shows the probability of Naturelgaz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Naturelgaz Sanayi price to stay between its current price of 6.28 and 8.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Naturelgaz Sanayi ve has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Naturelgaz Sanayi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Naturelgaz Sanayi ve is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Naturelgaz Sanayi ve has an alpha of 0.6248, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Naturelgaz Sanayi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Naturelgaz Sanayi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Naturelgaz Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Naturelgaz Sanayi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Naturelgaz Sanayi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Naturelgaz Sanayi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Naturelgaz Sanayi ve, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Naturelgaz Sanayi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Naturelgaz Sanayi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Naturelgaz Sanayi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Naturelgaz Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Naturelgaz Sanayi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Naturelgaz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Naturelgaz Sanayi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Naturelgaz Sanayi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 115 M |
Naturelgaz Sanayi Technical Analysis
Naturelgaz Sanayi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Naturelgaz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Naturelgaz Sanayi ve. In general, you should focus on analyzing Naturelgaz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Naturelgaz Sanayi Predictive Forecast Models
Naturelgaz Sanayi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Naturelgaz Sanayi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Naturelgaz Sanayi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Naturelgaz Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Naturelgaz Sanayi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Naturelgaz Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Naturelgaz Stock
Naturelgaz Sanayi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Naturelgaz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Naturelgaz with respect to the benefits of owning Naturelgaz Sanayi security.