Tien Phong (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 59160.37
| NTP Stock | 59,000 700.00 1.20% |
Tien |
Tien Phong Target Price Odds to finish below 59160.37
The tendency of Tien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 59,160 after 90 days |
| 59,000 | 90 days | 59,160 | about 22.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tien Phong to stay under 59,160 after 90 days from now is about 22.0 (This Tien Phong Plastic probability density function shows the probability of Tien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tien Phong Plastic price to stay between its current price of 59,000 and 59,160 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tien Phong has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Tien Phong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tien Phong Plastic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tien Phong Plastic has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tien Phong Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tien Phong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tien Phong Plastic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tien Phong Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tien Phong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tien Phong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tien Phong Plastic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tien Phong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4,434 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Tien Phong Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tien Phong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tien Phong Plastic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tien Phong Plastic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Tien Phong Technical Analysis
Tien Phong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tien Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tien Phong Plastic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tien Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tien Phong Predictive Forecast Models
Tien Phong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tien Phong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tien Phong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tien Phong Plastic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tien Phong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tien Phong Plastic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tien Phong Plastic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Tien Stock
Tien Phong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tien Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tien with respect to the benefits of owning Tien Phong security.