NIPPON TELTEL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.96

NTT Stock  EUR 0.96  0.01  1.03%   
NIPPON TELTEL's future price is the expected price of NIPPON TELTEL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NIPPON TELTEL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NIPPON TELTEL Backtesting, NIPPON TELTEL Valuation, NIPPON TELTEL Correlation, NIPPON TELTEL Hype Analysis, NIPPON TELTEL Volatility, NIPPON TELTEL History as well as NIPPON TELTEL Performance.
  
Please specify NIPPON TELTEL's target price for which you would like NIPPON TELTEL odds to be computed.

NIPPON TELTEL Target Price Odds to finish over 0.96

The tendency of NIPPON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.96 90 days 0.96 
about 16.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NIPPON TELTEL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.5 (This NIPPON TELTEL probability density function shows the probability of NIPPON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NIPPON TELTEL has a beta of -0.069. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NIPPON TELTEL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NIPPON TELTEL is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NIPPON TELTEL has an alpha of 0.0171, implying that it can generate a 0.0171 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   NIPPON TELTEL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NIPPON TELTEL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NIPPON TELTEL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.962.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.050.952.19
Details

NIPPON TELTEL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NIPPON TELTEL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NIPPON TELTEL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NIPPON TELTEL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NIPPON TELTEL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

NIPPON TELTEL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NIPPON TELTEL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NIPPON TELTEL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NIPPON TELTEL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

NIPPON TELTEL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NIPPON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NIPPON TELTEL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NIPPON TELTEL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.5 B

NIPPON TELTEL Technical Analysis

NIPPON TELTEL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NIPPON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NIPPON TELTEL. In general, you should focus on analyzing NIPPON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NIPPON TELTEL Predictive Forecast Models

NIPPON TELTEL's time-series forecasting models is one of many NIPPON TELTEL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NIPPON TELTEL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NIPPON TELTEL

Checking the ongoing alerts about NIPPON TELTEL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NIPPON TELTEL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NIPPON TELTEL has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in NIPPON Stock

NIPPON TELTEL financial ratios help investors to determine whether NIPPON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NIPPON with respect to the benefits of owning NIPPON TELTEL security.