Exchange Traded Concepts Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 40.11
| NUKZ Etf | 46.62 1.11 2.44% |
Exchange |
Exchange Traded Target Price Odds to finish below 40.11
The tendency of Exchange Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 40.11 or more in 90 days |
| 46.62 | 90 days | 40.11 | about 52.54 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Exchange Traded to drop to 40.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 52.54 (This Exchange Traded Concepts probability density function shows the probability of Exchange Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Exchange Traded Concepts price to stay between 40.11 and its current price of 46.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.03 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Exchange Traded Concepts has a beta of -0.0233. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Exchange Traded are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Exchange Traded Concepts is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Exchange Traded Concepts has an alpha of 0.6315, implying that it can generate a 0.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Exchange Traded Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Exchange Traded
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exchange Traded Concepts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Exchange Traded Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Exchange Traded is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Exchange Traded's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Exchange Traded Concepts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Exchange Traded within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.24 |
Exchange Traded Technical Analysis
Exchange Traded's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Exchange Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Exchange Traded Concepts. In general, you should focus on analyzing Exchange Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Exchange Traded Predictive Forecast Models
Exchange Traded's time-series forecasting models is one of many Exchange Traded's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Exchange Traded's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Exchange Traded in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Exchange Traded's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Exchange Traded options trading.
Check out Exchange Traded Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Exchange Traded Correlation, Exchange Traded Hype Analysis, Exchange Traded Volatility, Exchange Traded History as well as Exchange Traded Performance. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
The market value of Exchange Traded Concepts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exchange that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exchange Traded's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exchange Traded's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exchange Traded's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exchange Traded's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exchange Traded's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exchange Traded is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exchange Traded's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.