Nutex Investments (Hungary) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.64
| NUTEX Stock | 18.50 0.10 0.54% |
Nutex |
Nutex Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 18.64
The tendency of Nutex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18.64 after 90 days |
| 18.50 | 90 days | 18.64 | about 33.55 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nutex Investments to stay under 18.64 after 90 days from now is about 33.55 (This Nutex Investments PLC probability density function shows the probability of Nutex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nutex Investments PLC price to stay between its current price of 18.50 and 18.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nutex Investments has a beta of 0.28. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nutex Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nutex Investments PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nutex Investments PLC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nutex Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nutex Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nutex Investments PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nutex Investments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nutex Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nutex Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nutex Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nutex Investments PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nutex Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Nutex Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nutex Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nutex Investments PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nutex Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nutex Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nutex Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nutex Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nutex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nutex Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nutex Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 148.1 M |
Nutex Investments Technical Analysis
Nutex Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nutex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nutex Investments PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nutex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nutex Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Nutex Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nutex Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nutex Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nutex Investments PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nutex Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nutex Investments PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nutex Investments generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nutex Investments has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Nutex Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nutex Stock
Nutex Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nutex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nutex with respect to the benefits of owning Nutex Investments security.