Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 7.17
| NUV Fund | USD 8.92 0.10 1.13% |
Nuveen |
Nuveen Municipal Target Price Odds to finish below 7.17
The tendency of Nuveen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.17 or more in 90 days |
| 8.92 | 90 days | 7.17 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Municipal to drop to $ 7.17 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nuveen Municipal Value probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Municipal Value price to stay between $ 7.17 and its current price of $8.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.9 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nuveen Municipal Value has a beta of -0.0322. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Municipal Value is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Municipal Value has an alpha of 0.0307, implying that it can generate a 0.0307 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nuveen Municipal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nuveen Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Municipal Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuveen Municipal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nuveen Municipal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Municipal Value, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Nuveen Municipal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Municipal Value can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: NZF Profitability Rank 4 - GuruFocus.com | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Nuveen Municipal Technical Analysis
Nuveen Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Municipal Value. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nuveen Municipal Predictive Forecast Models
Nuveen Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Municipal's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nuveen Municipal Value
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Municipal Value help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NZF Profitability Rank 4 - GuruFocus.com | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund
Nuveen Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Municipal security.
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