Navigator Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.94
| NVGS Stock | USD 15.66 0.06 0.38% |
Closest to current price Navigator long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Navigator |
Navigator Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 15.94
The tendency of Navigator Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 15.94 after 90 days |
| 15.66 | 90 days | 15.94 | about 51.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Navigator Holdings to stay under $ 15.94 after 90 days from now is about 51.6 (This Navigator Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Navigator Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Navigator Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 15.66 and $ 15.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Navigator Holdings has a beta of 0.58. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Navigator Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Navigator Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Navigator Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Navigator Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Navigator Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Navigator Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Navigator Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Navigator Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Navigator Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Navigator Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Navigator Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Navigator Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Navigator Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Navigator Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Navigator Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navigator Holdings currently holds 857.05 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Navigator Holdings has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Navigator Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Navigator Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 53.0% of Navigator Holdings outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: The Navigator unmanned aerial vehicle Flying out a new picture for power grid operations |
Navigator Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Navigator Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Navigator Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navigator Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 149.6 M |
Navigator Holdings Technical Analysis
Navigator Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Navigator Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Navigator Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Navigator Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Navigator Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Navigator Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Navigator Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Navigator Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Navigator Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Navigator Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Navigator Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Navigator Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Navigator Holdings currently holds 857.05 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Navigator Holdings has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Navigator Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Navigator Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 53.0% of Navigator Holdings outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: The Navigator unmanned aerial vehicle Flying out a new picture for power grid operations |
Additional Tools for Navigator Stock Analysis
When running Navigator Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Navigator Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navigator Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Navigator Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navigator Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navigator Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navigator Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.