Nationwide Bailard International Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.53
| NWHLX Fund | USD 9.71 0.08 0.82% |
Nationwide |
Nationwide Bailard Target Price Odds to finish over 10.53
The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.53 or more in 90 days |
| 9.71 | 90 days | 10.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Bailard to move over $ 10.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nationwide Bailard International probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide Bailard price to stay between its current price of $ 9.71 and $ 10.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.65 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Bailard has a beta of 0.33. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nationwide Bailard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nationwide Bailard International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nationwide Bailard International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nationwide Bailard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nationwide Bailard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Bailard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nationwide Bailard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Bailard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Bailard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Bailard International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Bailard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Nationwide Bailard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Bailard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Bailard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nationwide Bailard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.99% of its assets in stocks |
Nationwide Bailard Technical Analysis
Nationwide Bailard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Bailard International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nationwide Bailard Predictive Forecast Models
Nationwide Bailard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Bailard's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Bailard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nationwide Bailard
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Bailard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Bailard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nationwide Bailard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 98.99% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund
Nationwide Bailard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Bailard security.
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals |