MONGOLIA ENERG (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.89

NWW Stock  EUR 0.07  0  3.90%   
MONGOLIA ENERG's future price is the expected price of MONGOLIA ENERG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MONGOLIA ENERG Backtesting, MONGOLIA ENERG Valuation, MONGOLIA ENERG Correlation, MONGOLIA ENERG Hype Analysis, MONGOLIA ENERG Volatility, MONGOLIA ENERG History as well as MONGOLIA ENERG Performance.
  
Please specify MONGOLIA ENERG's target price for which you would like MONGOLIA ENERG odds to be computed.

MONGOLIA ENERG Target Price Odds to finish over 5.89

The tendency of MONGOLIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 5.89  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 5.89 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MONGOLIA ENERG to move over € 5.89  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02 probability density function shows the probability of MONGOLIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MONGOLIA ENERG HD price to stay between its current price of € 0.07  and € 5.89  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.35 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MONGOLIA ENERG has a beta of 0.0838. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MONGOLIA ENERG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02 has an alpha of 0.6999, implying that it can generate a 0.7 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MONGOLIA ENERG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MONGOLIA ENERG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MONGOLIA ENERG HD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.085.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.065.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.075.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.070.080.08
Details

MONGOLIA ENERG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MONGOLIA ENERG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MONGOLIA ENERG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MONGOLIA ENERG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.70
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

MONGOLIA ENERG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MONGOLIA ENERG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MONGOLIA ENERG HD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MONGOLIA ENERG HD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MONGOLIA ENERG HD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MONGOLIA ENERG HD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MONGOLIA ENERG Technical Analysis

MONGOLIA ENERG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MONGOLIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MONGOLIA ENERG HD 02. In general, you should focus on analyzing MONGOLIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MONGOLIA ENERG Predictive Forecast Models

MONGOLIA ENERG's time-series forecasting models is one of many MONGOLIA ENERG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MONGOLIA ENERG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MONGOLIA ENERG HD

Checking the ongoing alerts about MONGOLIA ENERG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MONGOLIA ENERG HD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MONGOLIA ENERG HD is way too risky over 90 days horizon
MONGOLIA ENERG HD has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MONGOLIA ENERG HD appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in MONGOLIA Stock

MONGOLIA ENERG financial ratios help investors to determine whether MONGOLIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MONGOLIA with respect to the benefits of owning MONGOLIA ENERG security.