Nationwide Amundi Strategic Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.08

NWXGX Fund  USD 10.05  0.01  0.1%   
Nationwide Amundi's future price is the expected price of Nationwide Amundi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nationwide Amundi Strategic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nationwide Amundi Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nationwide Amundi Correlation, Nationwide Amundi Hype Analysis, Nationwide Amundi Volatility, Nationwide Amundi History as well as Nationwide Amundi Performance.
  
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Nationwide Amundi Target Price Odds to finish below 10.08

The tendency of Nationwide Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 10.08  after 90 days
 10.05 90 days 10.08 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Amundi to stay under $ 10.08  after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Nationwide Amundi Strategic probability density function shows the probability of Nationwide Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide Amundi price to stay between its current price of $ 10.05  and $ 10.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Amundi Strategic has a beta of -0.006. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nationwide Amundi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nationwide Amundi Strategic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nationwide Amundi Strategic has an alpha of 0.0243, implying that it can generate a 0.0243 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nationwide Amundi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nationwide Amundi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Amundi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9710.0510.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.159.2311.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9610.0410.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0010.0410.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nationwide Amundi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nationwide Amundi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nationwide Amundi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nationwide Amundi.

Nationwide Amundi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Amundi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Amundi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Amundi Strategic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Amundi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.006
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio -1.13

Nationwide Amundi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Amundi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Amundi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.76% of its assets in cash

Nationwide Amundi Technical Analysis

Nationwide Amundi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nationwide Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Amundi Strategic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nationwide Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nationwide Amundi Predictive Forecast Models

Nationwide Amundi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Amundi's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Amundi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nationwide Amundi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Amundi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Amundi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 11.76% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund

Nationwide Amundi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Amundi security.
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