Namyong Terminal (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.43

NYT Stock  THB 2.98  0.08  2.76%   
Namyong Terminal's future price is the expected price of Namyong Terminal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Namyong Terminal PCL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Namyong Terminal Backtesting, Namyong Terminal Valuation, Namyong Terminal Correlation, Namyong Terminal Hype Analysis, Namyong Terminal Volatility, Namyong Terminal History as well as Namyong Terminal Performance.
  
Please specify Namyong Terminal's target price for which you would like Namyong Terminal odds to be computed.

Namyong Terminal Target Price Odds to finish below 1.43

The tendency of Namyong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1.43  or more in 90 days
 2.98 90 days 1.43 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Namyong Terminal to drop to  1.43  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Namyong Terminal PCL probability density function shows the probability of Namyong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Namyong Terminal PCL price to stay between  1.43  and its current price of 2.98 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Namyong Terminal has a beta of 0.087. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Namyong Terminal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Namyong Terminal PCL will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Namyong Terminal PCL has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Namyong Terminal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Namyong Terminal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Namyong Terminal PCL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.432.984.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.332.884.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.342.894.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.863.033.19
Details

Namyong Terminal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Namyong Terminal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Namyong Terminal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Namyong Terminal PCL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Namyong Terminal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Namyong Terminal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Namyong Terminal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Namyong Terminal PCL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Namyong Terminal PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Namyong Terminal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Namyong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Namyong Terminal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Namyong Terminal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B

Namyong Terminal Technical Analysis

Namyong Terminal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Namyong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Namyong Terminal PCL. In general, you should focus on analyzing Namyong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Namyong Terminal Predictive Forecast Models

Namyong Terminal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Namyong Terminal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Namyong Terminal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Namyong Terminal PCL

Checking the ongoing alerts about Namyong Terminal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Namyong Terminal PCL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Namyong Terminal PCL generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Namyong Stock

Namyong Terminal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Namyong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Namyong with respect to the benefits of owning Namyong Terminal security.