Netz Hotels (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.95

NZHT Stock  ILS 34.10  0.60  1.79%   
Netz Hotels' future price is the expected price of Netz Hotels instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Netz Hotels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Netz Hotels Backtesting, Netz Hotels Valuation, Netz Hotels Correlation, Netz Hotels Hype Analysis, Netz Hotels Volatility, Netz Hotels History as well as Netz Hotels Performance.
  
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Netz Hotels Target Price Odds to finish below 29.95

The tendency of Netz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 29.95  or more in 90 days
 34.10 90 days 29.95 
about 71.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Netz Hotels to drop to S 29.95  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.93 (This Netz Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Netz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Netz Hotels price to stay between S 29.95  and its current price of S34.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Netz Hotels has a beta of 0.7. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Netz Hotels average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Netz Hotels will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Netz Hotels has an alpha of 0.2283, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Netz Hotels Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Netz Hotels

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Netz Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9534.1038.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.1426.2937.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.3134.4638.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.4430.0034.57
Details

Netz Hotels Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Netz Hotels is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Netz Hotels' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Netz Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Netz Hotels within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
2.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Netz Hotels Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Netz Hotels for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Netz Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netz Hotels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has S0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Net Loss for the year was (19.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Netz Hotels has accumulated about 57.78 M in cash with (2.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.

Netz Hotels Technical Analysis

Netz Hotels' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Netz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Netz Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Netz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Netz Hotels Predictive Forecast Models

Netz Hotels' time-series forecasting models is one of many Netz Hotels' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Netz Hotels' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Netz Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Netz Hotels for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Netz Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Netz Hotels had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company has S0.0 in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing
Net Loss for the year was (19.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Netz Hotels has accumulated about 57.78 M in cash with (2.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.75.

Other Information on Investing in Netz Stock

Netz Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Netz Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Netz with respect to the benefits of owning Netz Hotels security.