Oakworth Capital Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 30.09

OAKC Stock   30.80  0.25  0.82%   
Oakworth Capital's future price is the expected price of Oakworth Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oakworth Capital performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oakworth Capital Backtesting, Oakworth Capital Valuation, Oakworth Capital Correlation, Oakworth Capital Hype Analysis, Oakworth Capital Volatility, Oakworth Capital History as well as Oakworth Capital Performance.
  
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Oakworth Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 30.09

The tendency of Oakworth OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  30.09  or more in 90 days
 30.80 90 days 30.09 
about 79.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakworth Capital to drop to  30.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.7 (This Oakworth Capital probability density function shows the probability of Oakworth OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakworth Capital price to stay between  30.09  and its current price of 30.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oakworth Capital has a beta of -0.11. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oakworth Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oakworth Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oakworth Capital has an alpha of 0.046, implying that it can generate a 0.046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oakworth Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oakworth Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakworth Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.2230.8031.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.6927.2733.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.0930.6731.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.0230.4530.87
Details

Oakworth Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakworth Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakworth Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakworth Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakworth Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Oakworth Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oakworth OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oakworth Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oakworth Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid-1.4 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.45

Oakworth Capital Technical Analysis

Oakworth Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakworth OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakworth Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakworth OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oakworth Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Oakworth Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakworth Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oakworth Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oakworth Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oakworth Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oakworth Capital options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Oakworth OTC Stock

Oakworth Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oakworth OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oakworth with respect to the benefits of owning Oakworth Capital security.