Oak Woods Acquisition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.22
| OAKUR Stock | 0.19 0.00 0.00% |
Oak |
Oak Woods Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22
The tendency of Oak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.22 after 90 days |
| 0.19 | 90 days | 0.22 | about 49.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oak Woods to stay under 0.22 after 90 days from now is about 49.89 (This Oak Woods Acquisition probability density function shows the probability of Oak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oak Woods Acquisition price to stay between its current price of 0.19 and 0.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oak Woods Acquisition has a beta of -2.18. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Oak Woods Acquisition are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Oak Woods is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Oak Woods Acquisition has an alpha of 0.0833, implying that it can generate a 0.0833 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oak Woods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oak Woods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oak Woods Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oak Woods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oak Woods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oak Woods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oak Woods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oak Woods Acquisition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oak Woods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Oak Woods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oak Woods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oak Woods Acquisition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oak Woods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oak Woods has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oak Woods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition of Oak Woods Acqu - GuruFocus.com |
Oak Woods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oak Woods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oak Woods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Shares Short Prior Month | 17.3 K |
Oak Woods Technical Analysis
Oak Woods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oak Woods Acquisition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oak Woods Predictive Forecast Models
Oak Woods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Oak Woods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oak Woods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oak Woods Acquisition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oak Woods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oak Woods Acquisition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oak Woods generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oak Woods has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oak Woods has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition of Oak Woods Acqu - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Oak Stock Analysis
When running Oak Woods' price analysis, check to measure Oak Woods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oak Woods is operating at the current time. Most of Oak Woods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oak Woods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oak Woods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oak Woods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.