Overactive Media Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.19
| OAMCF Stock | USD 0.19 0.01 5.00% |
OverActive |
OverActive Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.19
The tendency of OverActive Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.19 | 90 days | 0.19 | about 49.88 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OverActive Media to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 49.88 (This OverActive Media Corp probability density function shows the probability of OverActive Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OverActive Media will likely underperform. Additionally OverActive Media Corp has an alpha of 0.4644, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OverActive Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OverActive Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OverActive Media Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OverActive Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OverActive Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OverActive Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OverActive Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OverActive Media Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OverActive Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
OverActive Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OverActive Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OverActive Media Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OverActive Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| OverActive Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| OverActive Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.4 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.01 M). | |
| OverActive Media Corp has accumulated about 21.99 M in cash with (10.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OverActive Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OverActive Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OverActive Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OverActive Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.3 M |
OverActive Media Technical Analysis
OverActive Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OverActive Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OverActive Media Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing OverActive Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OverActive Media Predictive Forecast Models
OverActive Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many OverActive Media's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OverActive Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OverActive Media Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about OverActive Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OverActive Media Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OverActive Media is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| OverActive Media has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| OverActive Media appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 14.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.4 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.01 M). | |
| OverActive Media Corp has accumulated about 21.99 M in cash with (10.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.27, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in OverActive Pink Sheet
OverActive Media financial ratios help investors to determine whether OverActive Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OverActive with respect to the benefits of owning OverActive Media security.