Octopus Apollo (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 47.08

OAP3 Stock   46.10  0.40  0.86%   
Octopus Apollo's future price is the expected price of Octopus Apollo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Octopus Apollo VCT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Octopus Apollo Backtesting, Octopus Apollo Valuation, Octopus Apollo Correlation, Octopus Apollo Hype Analysis, Octopus Apollo Volatility, Octopus Apollo History as well as Octopus Apollo Performance.
  
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Octopus Apollo Target Price Odds to finish over 47.08

The tendency of Octopus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  47.08  or more in 90 days
 46.10 90 days 47.08 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Octopus Apollo to move over  47.08  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Octopus Apollo VCT probability density function shows the probability of Octopus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Octopus Apollo VCT price to stay between its current price of  46.10  and  47.08  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Octopus Apollo VCT has a beta of -0.15. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Octopus Apollo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Octopus Apollo VCT is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Octopus Apollo VCT has an alpha of 0.013, implying that it can generate a 0.013 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Octopus Apollo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Octopus Apollo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Octopus Apollo VCT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.1446.1047.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.7042.6650.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.2846.2447.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.9046.1446.38
Details

Octopus Apollo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Octopus Apollo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Octopus Apollo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Octopus Apollo VCT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Octopus Apollo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Octopus Apollo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Octopus Apollo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Octopus Apollo VCT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (435 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.91 M.
Octopus Apollo generates negative cash flow from operations

Octopus Apollo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Octopus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Octopus Apollo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Octopus Apollo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding709.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments70.2 M

Octopus Apollo Technical Analysis

Octopus Apollo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Octopus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Octopus Apollo VCT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Octopus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Octopus Apollo Predictive Forecast Models

Octopus Apollo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Octopus Apollo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Octopus Apollo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Octopus Apollo VCT

Checking the ongoing alerts about Octopus Apollo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Octopus Apollo VCT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.57 M. Net Loss for the year was (435 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 51.91 M.
Octopus Apollo generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Octopus Stock Analysis

When running Octopus Apollo's price analysis, check to measure Octopus Apollo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Octopus Apollo is operating at the current time. Most of Octopus Apollo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Octopus Apollo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Octopus Apollo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Octopus Apollo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.