Blue Owl Capital Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.84
| OBDC Stock | 15.22 0.12 0.79% |
Blue |
Blue Owl Target Price Odds to finish below 12.84
The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.84 or more in 90 days |
| 15.22 | 90 days | 12.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Owl to drop to 12.84 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Blue Owl Capital probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blue Owl Capital price to stay between 12.84 and its current price of 15.22 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Owl has a beta of 0.6. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Blue Owl average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blue Owl Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blue Owl Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Blue Owl Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blue Owl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Owl Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Owl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blue Owl Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Owl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Owl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Owl Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Owl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Blue Owl Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Owl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Owl Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| On 15th of October 2024 Blue Owl paid 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Blue Owl Capital Corporations SWOT analysis stock poised for growth amid merger |
Blue Owl Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Owl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Owl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 390.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 659.7 M |
Blue Owl Technical Analysis
Blue Owl's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blue Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blue Owl Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blue Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blue Owl Predictive Forecast Models
Blue Owl's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blue Owl's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blue Owl's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blue Owl Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Owl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Owl Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| On 15th of October 2024 Blue Owl paid 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Blue Owl Capital Corporations SWOT analysis stock poised for growth amid merger |
Check out Blue Owl Backtesting, Blue Owl Valuation, Blue Owl Correlation, Blue Owl Hype Analysis, Blue Owl Volatility, Blue Owl History as well as Blue Owl Performance. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Owl. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Owl listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1.46 | Earnings Share 1.61 | Revenue Per Share 4.138 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
The market value of Blue Owl Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Owl's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Owl's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Owl's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Owl's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Owl's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Owl is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Owl's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.