Oberweis Emerging Markets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.5
| OBEMX Fund | USD 9.59 0.00 0.00% |
Oberweis |
Oberweis Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 10.5
The tendency of Oberweis Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.50 after 90 days |
| 9.59 | 90 days | 10.50 | about 20.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oberweis Emerging to stay under $ 10.50 after 90 days from now is about 20.21 (This Oberweis Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of Oberweis Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oberweis Emerging Markets price to stay between its current price of $ 9.59 and $ 10.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.85 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oberweis Emerging has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oberweis Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oberweis Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oberweis Emerging Markets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oberweis Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oberweis Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oberweis Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oberweis Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oberweis Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oberweis Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oberweis Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oberweis Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Oberweis Emerging Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oberweis Emerging for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oberweis Emerging Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oberweis Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% | |
| Oberweis Emerging Markets maintains 97.51% of its assets in stocks |
Oberweis Emerging Technical Analysis
Oberweis Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oberweis Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oberweis Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oberweis Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oberweis Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
Oberweis Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oberweis Emerging's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oberweis Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oberweis Emerging Markets
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oberweis Emerging for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oberweis Emerging Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oberweis Emerging generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -4.0% | |
| Oberweis Emerging Markets maintains 97.51% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Oberweis Mutual Fund
Oberweis Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oberweis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oberweis with respect to the benefits of owning Oberweis Emerging security.
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