Indexiq Etf Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 25.32
| OCEN Etf | USD 21.24 0.16 0.76% |
IndexIQ |
IndexIQ ETF Target Price Odds to finish over 25.32
The tendency of IndexIQ Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 25.32 or more in 90 days |
| 21.24 | 90 days | 25.32 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IndexIQ ETF to move over $ 25.32 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This IndexIQ ETF Trust probability density function shows the probability of IndexIQ Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IndexIQ ETF Trust price to stay between its current price of $ 21.24 and $ 25.32 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IndexIQ ETF has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, IndexIQ ETF average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IndexIQ ETF Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IndexIQ ETF Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IndexIQ ETF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IndexIQ ETF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IndexIQ ETF Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IndexIQ ETF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IndexIQ ETF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IndexIQ ETF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IndexIQ ETF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IndexIQ ETF Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IndexIQ ETF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
IndexIQ ETF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IndexIQ ETF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IndexIQ ETF Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IndexIQ ETF Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -5.0% | |
| IndexIQ ETF Trust maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks |
IndexIQ ETF Technical Analysis
IndexIQ ETF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IndexIQ Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IndexIQ ETF Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing IndexIQ Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IndexIQ ETF Predictive Forecast Models
IndexIQ ETF's time-series forecasting models is one of many IndexIQ ETF's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IndexIQ ETF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IndexIQ ETF Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about IndexIQ ETF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IndexIQ ETF Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IndexIQ ETF Trust generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund created three year return of -5.0% | |
| IndexIQ ETF Trust maintains 99.95% of its assets in stocks |
Check out IndexIQ ETF Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, IndexIQ ETF Correlation, IndexIQ ETF Hype Analysis, IndexIQ ETF Volatility, IndexIQ ETF History as well as IndexIQ ETF Performance. To learn how to invest in IndexIQ Etf, please use our How to Invest in IndexIQ ETF guide.You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
The market value of IndexIQ ETF Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IndexIQ that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IndexIQ ETF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IndexIQ ETF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IndexIQ ETF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IndexIQ ETF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IndexIQ ETF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IndexIQ ETF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IndexIQ ETF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.