Ocm Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.5

OCMGX Fund  USD 13.41  0.07  0.52%   
Ocm Mutual's future price is the expected price of Ocm Mutual instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ocm Mutual Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ocm Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ocm Mutual Correlation, Ocm Mutual Hype Analysis, Ocm Mutual Volatility, Ocm Mutual History as well as Ocm Mutual Performance.
  
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Ocm Mutual Target Price Odds to finish over 13.5

The tendency of Ocm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.50  or more in 90 days
 13.41 90 days 13.50 
about 86.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ocm Mutual to move over $ 13.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.09 (This Ocm Mutual Fund probability density function shows the probability of Ocm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ocm Mutual Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 13.41  and $ 13.50  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ocm Mutual has a beta of 0.36. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Ocm Mutual average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ocm Mutual Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ocm Mutual Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Ocm Mutual Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ocm Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ocm Mutual Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.7113.4115.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9513.6515.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2513.9415.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.3713.4313.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ocm Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ocm Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ocm Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ocm Mutual Fund.

Ocm Mutual Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ocm Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ocm Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ocm Mutual Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ocm Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0067
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Ocm Mutual Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ocm Mutual for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ocm Mutual Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ocm Mutual Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%
Ocm Mutual Fund maintains about 6.23% of its assets in cash

Ocm Mutual Technical Analysis

Ocm Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ocm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ocm Mutual Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ocm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ocm Mutual Predictive Forecast Models

Ocm Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ocm Mutual's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ocm Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ocm Mutual Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ocm Mutual for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ocm Mutual Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ocm Mutual Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated0.0 ten year return of 0.0%
Ocm Mutual Fund maintains about 6.23% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Ocm Mutual Fund

Ocm Mutual financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ocm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ocm with respect to the benefits of owning Ocm Mutual security.
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