Oculis Holding Ag Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.44
| OCSAW Stock | 4.25 0.10 2.30% |
Oculis |
Oculis Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 5.44
The tendency of Oculis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 5.44 after 90 days |
| 4.25 | 90 days | 5.44 | about 92.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oculis Holding to stay under 5.44 after 90 days from now is about 92.61 (This Oculis Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Oculis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oculis Holding AG price to stay between its current price of 4.25 and 5.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oculis Holding AG has a beta of -1.02. This indicates Moreover Oculis Holding AG has an alpha of 1.8023, implying that it can generate a 1.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oculis Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oculis Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oculis Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oculis Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oculis Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oculis Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oculis Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oculis Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Oculis Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oculis Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oculis Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oculis Holding AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Oculis Holding AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oculis Holding AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (88.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Oculis Holding generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Oculis Holding AG has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oculis Lack Of Coverage Only Real Risk For This Solid Company - Seeking Alpha |
Oculis Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oculis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oculis Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oculis Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.6 M |
Oculis Holding Technical Analysis
Oculis Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oculis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oculis Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oculis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oculis Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Oculis Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oculis Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oculis Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oculis Holding AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oculis Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oculis Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oculis Holding AG is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Oculis Holding AG appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oculis Holding AG has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (88.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Oculis Holding generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Oculis Holding AG has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Oculis Lack Of Coverage Only Real Risk For This Solid Company - Seeking Alpha |
Additional Tools for Oculis Stock Analysis
When running Oculis Holding's price analysis, check to measure Oculis Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oculis Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Oculis Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oculis Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oculis Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oculis Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.