Orell Fuessli (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 77.13
| OFN Stock | CHF 76.80 0.20 0.26% |
Orell |
Orell Fuessli Target Price Odds to finish below 77.13
The tendency of Orell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under ₣ 77.13 after 90 days |
| 76.80 | 90 days | 77.13 | about 76.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orell Fuessli to stay under ₣ 77.13 after 90 days from now is about 76.91 (This Orell Fuessli Holding probability density function shows the probability of Orell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orell Fuessli Holding price to stay between its current price of ₣ 76.80 and ₣ 77.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orell Fuessli has a beta of 0.019. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orell Fuessli average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orell Fuessli Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orell Fuessli Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orell Fuessli Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Orell Fuessli
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orell Fuessli Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orell Fuessli Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orell Fuessli is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orell Fuessli's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orell Fuessli Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orell Fuessli within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Orell Fuessli Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orell Fuessli for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orell Fuessli Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orell Fuessli generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orell Fuessli Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orell Fuessli's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orell Fuessli's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.7 M |
Orell Fuessli Technical Analysis
Orell Fuessli's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orell Fuessli Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orell Fuessli Predictive Forecast Models
Orell Fuessli's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orell Fuessli's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orell Fuessli's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orell Fuessli Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orell Fuessli for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orell Fuessli Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orell Fuessli generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Orell Stock Analysis
When running Orell Fuessli's price analysis, check to measure Orell Fuessli's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orell Fuessli is operating at the current time. Most of Orell Fuessli's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orell Fuessli's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orell Fuessli's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orell Fuessli to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.