Oi SA (Brazil) Chance of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 5.69
| OIBR4 Preferred Stock | BRL 10.47 0.07 0.67% |
OIBR4 |
Oi SA Target Price Odds to finish below 5.69
The tendency of OIBR4 Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 5.69 or more in 90 days |
| 10.47 | 90 days | 5.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oi SA to drop to R$ 5.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oi SA probability density function shows the probability of OIBR4 Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oi SA price to stay between R$ 5.69 and its current price of R$10.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oi SA has a beta of -0.71. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oi SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oi SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oi SA has an alpha of 0.4915, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oi SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oi SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oi SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oi SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oi SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oi SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oi SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oi SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Oi SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oi SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oi SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oi SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oi SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.52 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.13 M. | |
| Oi SA has accumulated about 2.22 B in cash with (110.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. |
Oi SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OIBR4 Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oi SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oi SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Oi SA Technical Analysis
Oi SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OIBR4 Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oi SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing OIBR4 Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oi SA Predictive Forecast Models
Oi SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oi SA's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oi SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oi SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oi SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oi SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oi SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oi SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.48 B. Net Loss for the year was (8.52 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.13 M. | |
| Oi SA has accumulated about 2.22 B in cash with (110.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. |
Additional Tools for OIBR4 Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Oi SA's price analysis, check to measure Oi SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oi SA is operating at the current time. Most of Oi SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oi SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oi SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oi SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.