Okea ASA (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.65

OKEA Stock  NOK 19.99  0.09  0.45%   
Okea ASA's future price is the expected price of Okea ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Okea ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Okea ASA Backtesting, Okea ASA Valuation, Okea ASA Correlation, Okea ASA Hype Analysis, Okea ASA Volatility, Okea ASA History as well as Okea ASA Performance.
  
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Okea ASA Target Price Odds to finish over 17.65

The tendency of Okea Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  17.65  in 90 days
 19.99 90 days 17.65 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Okea ASA to stay above  17.65  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Okea ASA probability density function shows the probability of Okea Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Okea ASA price to stay between  17.65  and its current price of 19.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Okea ASA has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Okea ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Okea ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Okea ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Okea ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Okea ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Okea ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.7019.9922.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.3617.6521.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.2419.5321.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.8719.9820.08
Details

Okea ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Okea ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Okea ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Okea ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Okea ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.41
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Okea ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Okea ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Okea ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Okea ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Okea ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Okea Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Okea ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Okea ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding103.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Okea ASA Technical Analysis

Okea ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Okea Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Okea ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Okea Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Okea ASA Predictive Forecast Models

Okea ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Okea ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Okea ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Okea ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Okea ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Okea ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Okea ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Okea Stock

Okea ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Okea Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Okea with respect to the benefits of owning Okea ASA security.