Olivers Real (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.011
| OLI Stock | 0.01 0 10.00% |
Olivers |
Olivers Real Target Price Odds to finish below 0.011
The tendency of Olivers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 40.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Olivers Real to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 40.4 (This Olivers Real Food probability density function shows the probability of Olivers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Olivers Real Food has a beta of -0.061. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Olivers Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Olivers Real Food is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Olivers Real Food has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Olivers Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Olivers Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Olivers Real Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Olivers Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Olivers Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Olivers Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Olivers Real Food, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Olivers Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Olivers Real Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Olivers Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Olivers Real Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Olivers Real Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Olivers Real Food has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Olivers Real Food has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Olivers Real Food has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 26.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.87 M. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Olivers Real Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Olivers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Olivers Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Olivers Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 440.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 459.6 K |
Olivers Real Technical Analysis
Olivers Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Olivers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Olivers Real Food. In general, you should focus on analyzing Olivers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Olivers Real Predictive Forecast Models
Olivers Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Olivers Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Olivers Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Olivers Real Food
Checking the ongoing alerts about Olivers Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Olivers Real Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Olivers Real Food generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Olivers Real Food has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Olivers Real Food has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Olivers Real Food has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 26.7 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.87 M. | |
| About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Olivers Stock Analysis
When running Olivers Real's price analysis, check to measure Olivers Real's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Olivers Real is operating at the current time. Most of Olivers Real's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Olivers Real's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Olivers Real's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Olivers Real to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.