Oscar Mitra (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.82
| OLIV Stock | 10.00 1.00 9.09% |
Oscar |
Oscar Mitra Target Price Odds to finish below 2.82
The tendency of Oscar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.82 or more in 90 days |
| 10.00 | 90 days | 2.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oscar Mitra to drop to 2.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oscar Mitra Sukses probability density function shows the probability of Oscar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oscar Mitra Sukses price to stay between 2.82 and its current price of 10.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oscar Mitra Sukses has a beta of -0.73. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oscar Mitra are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oscar Mitra Sukses is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oscar Mitra Sukses has an alpha of 0.6041, implying that it can generate a 0.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oscar Mitra Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oscar Mitra
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oscar Mitra Sukses. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oscar Mitra Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oscar Mitra is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oscar Mitra's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oscar Mitra Sukses, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oscar Mitra within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Oscar Mitra Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oscar Mitra for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oscar Mitra Sukses can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oscar Mitra Sukses is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Oscar Mitra Sukses appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oscar Mitra generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Oscar Mitra Technical Analysis
Oscar Mitra's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oscar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oscar Mitra Sukses. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oscar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oscar Mitra Predictive Forecast Models
Oscar Mitra's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oscar Mitra's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oscar Mitra's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oscar Mitra Sukses
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oscar Mitra for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oscar Mitra Sukses help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oscar Mitra Sukses is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Oscar Mitra Sukses appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Oscar Mitra generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Oscar Stock
Oscar Mitra financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oscar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oscar with respect to the benefits of owning Oscar Mitra security.