Omaxe (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 95.42

OMAXE Stock   99.40  3.22  3.14%   
Omaxe's future price is the expected price of Omaxe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Omaxe Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Omaxe Backtesting, Omaxe Valuation, Omaxe Correlation, Omaxe Hype Analysis, Omaxe Volatility, Omaxe History as well as Omaxe Performance.
  
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Omaxe Target Price Odds to finish over 95.42

The tendency of Omaxe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  95.42  in 90 days
 99.40 90 days 95.42 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omaxe to stay above  95.42  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Omaxe Limited probability density function shows the probability of Omaxe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omaxe Limited price to stay between  95.42  and its current price of 99.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Omaxe has a beta of 0.47. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Omaxe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Omaxe Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Omaxe Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Omaxe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Omaxe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omaxe Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omaxe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.1297.62100.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.9886.48109.34
Details

Omaxe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omaxe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omaxe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omaxe Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omaxe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
7.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Omaxe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omaxe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omaxe Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omaxe Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 16.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (682.8 M).
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Omaxe Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omaxe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omaxe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omaxe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 B

Omaxe Technical Analysis

Omaxe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omaxe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omaxe Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omaxe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Omaxe Predictive Forecast Models

Omaxe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Omaxe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omaxe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Omaxe Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Omaxe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omaxe Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omaxe Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 16.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.03 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (682.8 M).
About 77.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Omaxe Stock

Omaxe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Omaxe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Omaxe with respect to the benefits of owning Omaxe security.