Omnicom Group Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 98.69
| OMC Stock | USD 92.46 0.36 0.39% |
Omnicom |
Omnicom Target Price Odds to finish over 98.69
The tendency of Omnicom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 98.69 or more in 90 days |
| 92.46 | 90 days | 98.69 | about 88.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omnicom to move over $ 98.69 or more in 90 days from now is about 88.57 (This Omnicom Group probability density function shows the probability of Omnicom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omnicom Group price to stay between its current price of $ 92.46 and $ 98.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.41 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.11 . This indicates Omnicom Group market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Omnicom is expected to follow. Additionally Omnicom Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Omnicom Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Omnicom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omnicom Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Omnicom Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omnicom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omnicom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omnicom Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omnicom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Omnicom Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omnicom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omnicom Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Omnicom Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omnicom Group has 6.5 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.75, which is OK given its current industry classification. Omnicom Group has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Omnicom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 100.0% of Omnicom shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Investigates the Merger of Omnicom Group Inc. - OMC |
Omnicom Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omnicom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omnicom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omnicom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 201.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 B |
Omnicom Technical Analysis
Omnicom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omnicom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omnicom Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omnicom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Omnicom Predictive Forecast Models
Omnicom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Omnicom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omnicom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Omnicom Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Omnicom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omnicom Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Omnicom Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Omnicom Group has 6.5 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.75, which is OK given its current industry classification. Omnicom Group has a current ratio of 0.93, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Omnicom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 100.0% of Omnicom shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SHAREHOLDER ALERT The MA Class Action Firm Investigates the Merger of Omnicom Group Inc. - OMC |
Check out Omnicom Backtesting, Omnicom Valuation, Omnicom Correlation, Omnicom Hype Analysis, Omnicom Volatility, Omnicom History as well as Omnicom Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omnicom. If investors know Omnicom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omnicom listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.048 | Dividend Share 2.8 | Earnings Share 7.32 | Revenue Per Share 78.314 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.085 |
The market value of Omnicom Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omnicom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omnicom's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omnicom's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omnicom's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omnicom's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omnicom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omnicom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omnicom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.