Oxford Metrics (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.89
| OMG Stock | 62.20 0.20 0.32% |
Oxford |
Oxford Metrics Target Price Odds to finish below 60.89
The tendency of Oxford Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 60.89 or more in 90 days |
| 62.20 | 90 days | 60.89 | about 29.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oxford Metrics to drop to 60.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 29.99 (This Oxford Metrics plc probability density function shows the probability of Oxford Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oxford Metrics plc price to stay between 60.89 and its current price of 62.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oxford Metrics has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oxford Metrics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oxford Metrics plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oxford Metrics plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oxford Metrics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oxford Metrics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oxford Metrics plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oxford Metrics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oxford Metrics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oxford Metrics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oxford Metrics plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oxford Metrics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Oxford Metrics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oxford Metrics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oxford Metrics plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oxford Metrics plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oxford Metrics plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oxford Metrics plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: With 82 percent institutional ownership, Oxford Metrics plc is a favorite amongst the big guns - Yahoo Finance |
Oxford Metrics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oxford Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oxford Metrics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Metrics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 131.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66 M |
Oxford Metrics Technical Analysis
Oxford Metrics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oxford Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oxford Metrics plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oxford Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oxford Metrics Predictive Forecast Models
Oxford Metrics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Oxford Metrics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oxford Metrics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oxford Metrics plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oxford Metrics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oxford Metrics plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oxford Metrics plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oxford Metrics plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Oxford Metrics plc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: With 82 percent institutional ownership, Oxford Metrics plc is a favorite amongst the big guns - Yahoo Finance |
Other Information on Investing in Oxford Stock
Oxford Metrics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oxford Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oxford with respect to the benefits of owning Oxford Metrics security.