Jpmorgan Investor Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 26.88

ONGAX Fund  USD 26.88  0.16  0.59%   
Jpmorgan Investor's future price is the expected price of Jpmorgan Investor instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jpmorgan Investor Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jpmorgan Investor Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Jpmorgan Investor Correlation, Jpmorgan Investor Hype Analysis, Jpmorgan Investor Volatility, Jpmorgan Investor History as well as Jpmorgan Investor Performance.
  
Please specify Jpmorgan Investor's target price for which you would like Jpmorgan Investor odds to be computed.

Jpmorgan Investor Target Price Odds to finish over 26.88

The tendency of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.88 90 days 26.88 
about 11.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jpmorgan Investor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.08 (This Jpmorgan Investor Growth probability density function shows the probability of Jpmorgan Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Jpmorgan Investor has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jpmorgan Investor average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jpmorgan Investor Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jpmorgan Investor Growth has an alpha of 0.0205, implying that it can generate a 0.0205 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jpmorgan Investor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jpmorgan Investor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jpmorgan Investor Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.3226.8827.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.2126.7727.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.3926.9527.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.8027.0327.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Investor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Investor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Investor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Investor Growth.

Jpmorgan Investor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jpmorgan Investor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jpmorgan Investor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jpmorgan Investor Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jpmorgan Investor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Jpmorgan Investor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jpmorgan Investor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jpmorgan Investor Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.37% of its assets in cash

Jpmorgan Investor Technical Analysis

Jpmorgan Investor's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jpmorgan Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jpmorgan Investor Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jpmorgan Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jpmorgan Investor Predictive Forecast Models

Jpmorgan Investor's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jpmorgan Investor's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jpmorgan Investor's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jpmorgan Investor Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jpmorgan Investor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jpmorgan Investor Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 5.37% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund

Jpmorgan Investor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Investor security.
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