Proshares Online Retail Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 39.81

ONLN Etf  USD 44.71  0.24  0.53%   
ProShares Online's future price is the expected price of ProShares Online instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ProShares Online Retail performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ProShares Online Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ProShares Online Correlation, ProShares Online Hype Analysis, ProShares Online Volatility, ProShares Online History as well as ProShares Online Performance.
  
Please specify ProShares Online's target price for which you would like ProShares Online odds to be computed.

ProShares Online Target Price Odds to finish below 39.81

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 39.81  or more in 90 days
 44.71 90 days 39.81 
about 5.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Online to drop to $ 39.81  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.85 (This ProShares Online Retail probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ProShares Online Retail price to stay between $ 39.81  and its current price of $44.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days ProShares Online has a beta of 0.89. This indicates ProShares Online Retail market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ProShares Online is expected to follow. Additionally ProShares Online Retail has an alpha of 0.0406, implying that it can generate a 0.0406 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ProShares Online Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Online

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Online Retail. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.4644.7346.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9444.2145.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.5643.8345.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43.9745.0746.17
Details

ProShares Online Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Online is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Online's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Online Retail, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Online within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
2.33
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

ProShares Online Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Online for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Online Retail can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from zacks.com: 3 ETF Sectors Likely to Benefit This Holiday Season
The fund created three year return of -13.0%
ProShares Online Retail maintains 99.87% of its assets in stocks

ProShares Online Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ProShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ProShares Online's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ProShares Online's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

ProShares Online Technical Analysis

ProShares Online's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ProShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ProShares Online Retail. In general, you should focus on analyzing ProShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ProShares Online Predictive Forecast Models

ProShares Online's time-series forecasting models is one of many ProShares Online's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ProShares Online's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ProShares Online Retail

Checking the ongoing alerts about ProShares Online for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ProShares Online Retail help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from zacks.com: 3 ETF Sectors Likely to Benefit This Holiday Season
The fund created three year return of -13.0%
ProShares Online Retail maintains 99.87% of its assets in stocks
When determining whether ProShares Online Retail offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProShares Online's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Proshares Online Retail Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Proshares Online Retail Etf:
The market value of ProShares Online Retail is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Online's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Online is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.