Online Vacation Center Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 10.22

ONVC Stock  USD 2.00  0.50  33.33%   
Online Vacation's future price is the expected price of Online Vacation instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Online Vacation Center performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Online Vacation Backtesting, Online Vacation Valuation, Online Vacation Correlation, Online Vacation Hype Analysis, Online Vacation Volatility, Online Vacation History as well as Online Vacation Performance.
  
Please specify Online Vacation's target price for which you would like Online Vacation odds to be computed.

Online Vacation Target Price Odds to finish over 10.22

The tendency of Online OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.22  or more in 90 days
 2.00 90 days 10.22 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Online Vacation to move over $ 10.22  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Online Vacation Center probability density function shows the probability of Online OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Online Vacation Center price to stay between its current price of $ 2.00  and $ 10.22  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Online Vacation Center has a beta of -0.59. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Online Vacation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Online Vacation Center is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Online Vacation Center has an alpha of 0.8848, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Online Vacation Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Online Vacation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Online Vacation Center. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Online Vacation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.0010.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.559.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.0210.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.521.772.02
Details

Online Vacation Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Online Vacation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Online Vacation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Online Vacation Center, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Online Vacation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Online Vacation Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Online Vacation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Online Vacation Center can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Online Vacation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Online Vacation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Travel Leisure Co. to Present at the Barclays Eat, Sleep, Play, Shop Conference and the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer Retail Conference

Online Vacation Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Online OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Online Vacation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Online Vacation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.4 M

Online Vacation Technical Analysis

Online Vacation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Online OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Online Vacation Center. In general, you should focus on analyzing Online OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Online Vacation Predictive Forecast Models

Online Vacation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Online Vacation's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Online Vacation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Online Vacation Center

Checking the ongoing alerts about Online Vacation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Online Vacation Center help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Online Vacation is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Online Vacation appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Travel Leisure Co. to Present at the Barclays Eat, Sleep, Play, Shop Conference and the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer Retail Conference

Other Information on Investing in Online OTC Stock

Online Vacation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Online OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Online with respect to the benefits of owning Online Vacation security.