Oscar Properties (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.31

OP Stock  SEK 0.20  0.00  0.00%   
Oscar Properties' future price is the expected price of Oscar Properties instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oscar Properties Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
  
Please specify Oscar Properties' target price for which you would like Oscar Properties odds to be computed.

Oscar Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 0.31

The tendency of Oscar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 0.31  after 90 days
 0.20 90 days 0.31 
about 84.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oscar Properties to stay under kr 0.31  after 90 days from now is about 84.82 (This Oscar Properties Holding probability density function shows the probability of Oscar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oscar Properties Holding price to stay between its current price of kr 0.20  and kr 0.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oscar Properties Holding has a beta of -2.73. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Oscar Properties Holding are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Oscar Properties is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Oscar Properties Holding has an alpha of 3.6476, implying that it can generate a 3.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oscar Properties Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oscar Properties

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oscar Properties Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oscar Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.205.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.195.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.205.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.190.200.21
Details

Oscar Properties Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oscar Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oscar Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oscar Properties Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oscar Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Oscar Properties Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oscar Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oscar Properties Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oscar Properties is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Oscar Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oscar Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Oscar Properties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Oscar Properties Holding has accumulated 2.73 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.1, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Oscar Properties Holding has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oscar Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oscar Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oscar Properties Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oscar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oscar Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of Oscar Properties outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Oscar Properties Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oscar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oscar Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oscar Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments112.8 M

Oscar Properties Technical Analysis

Oscar Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oscar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oscar Properties Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oscar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oscar Properties Predictive Forecast Models

Oscar Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many Oscar Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oscar Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oscar Properties Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oscar Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oscar Properties Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oscar Properties is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Oscar Properties generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Oscar Properties has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Oscar Properties has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Oscar Properties Holding has accumulated 2.73 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.1, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Oscar Properties Holding has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Oscar Properties until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Oscar Properties' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Oscar Properties Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Oscar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Oscar Properties' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 75.0% of Oscar Properties outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Oscar Stock Analysis

When running Oscar Properties' price analysis, check to measure Oscar Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oscar Properties is operating at the current time. Most of Oscar Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oscar Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oscar Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oscar Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.