Offerpad Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.09

OPAD Stock  USD 4.08  0.25  6.53%   
Offerpad Solutions' future price is the expected price of Offerpad Solutions instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Offerpad Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Offerpad Solutions Backtesting, Offerpad Solutions Valuation, Offerpad Solutions Correlation, Offerpad Solutions Hype Analysis, Offerpad Solutions Volatility, Offerpad Solutions History as well as Offerpad Solutions Performance.
For information on how to trade Offerpad Stock refer to our How to Trade Offerpad Stock guide.
  
At present, Offerpad Solutions' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is projected to grow to (2.19). Please specify Offerpad Solutions' target price for which you would like Offerpad Solutions odds to be computed.

Offerpad Solutions Target Price Odds to finish below 4.09

The tendency of Offerpad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 4.09  after 90 days
 4.08 90 days 4.09 
about 84.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Offerpad Solutions to stay under $ 4.09  after 90 days from now is about 84.06 (This Offerpad Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Offerpad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Offerpad Solutions price to stay between its current price of $ 4.08  and $ 4.09  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.8 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Offerpad Solutions will likely underperform. Additionally Offerpad Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Offerpad Solutions Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Offerpad Solutions

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Offerpad Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.204.099.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.265.1610.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.328.73
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.389.2110.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Offerpad Solutions. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Offerpad Solutions' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Offerpad Solutions' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Offerpad Solutions.

Offerpad Solutions Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Offerpad Solutions is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Offerpad Solutions' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Offerpad Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Offerpad Solutions within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.80
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Offerpad Solutions Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Offerpad Solutions for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Offerpad Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Offerpad Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Offerpad Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 182.42 M.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Offerpad Solutions Releases Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.05 EPS

Offerpad Solutions Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Offerpad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Offerpad Solutions' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Offerpad Solutions' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments76 M

Offerpad Solutions Technical Analysis

Offerpad Solutions' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Offerpad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Offerpad Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Offerpad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Offerpad Solutions Predictive Forecast Models

Offerpad Solutions' time-series forecasting models is one of many Offerpad Solutions' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Offerpad Solutions' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Offerpad Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Offerpad Solutions for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Offerpad Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Offerpad Solutions had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Offerpad Solutions has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.31 B. Net Loss for the year was (117.22 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 182.42 M.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Offerpad Solutions Releases Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By 0.05 EPS
When determining whether Offerpad Solutions is a strong investment it is important to analyze Offerpad Solutions' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Offerpad Solutions' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Offerpad Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Offerpad Solutions. If investors know Offerpad will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Offerpad Solutions listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.18)
Revenue Per Share
35.993
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.67)
The market value of Offerpad Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Offerpad that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Offerpad Solutions' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Offerpad Solutions' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Offerpad Solutions' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Offerpad Solutions' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Offerpad Solutions' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Offerpad Solutions is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Offerpad Solutions' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.