Opal Balance (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 212.19

OPAL Stock  ILS 192.90  1.30  0.68%   
Opal Balance's future price is the expected price of Opal Balance instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Opal Balance performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Opal Balance Backtesting, Opal Balance Valuation, Opal Balance Correlation, Opal Balance Hype Analysis, Opal Balance Volatility, Opal Balance History as well as Opal Balance Performance.
  
Please specify Opal Balance's target price for which you would like Opal Balance odds to be computed.

Opal Balance Target Price Odds to finish over 212.19

The tendency of Opal Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over S 212.19  or more in 90 days
 192.90 90 days 212.19 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Opal Balance to move over S 212.19  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Opal Balance probability density function shows the probability of Opal Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Opal Balance price to stay between its current price of S 192.90  and S 212.19  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Opal Balance has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Opal Balance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Opal Balance is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Opal Balance has an alpha of 0.4159, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Opal Balance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Opal Balance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Opal Balance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
191.35192.90194.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
177.52179.07212.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
189.28190.83192.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
181.68189.15196.63
Details

Opal Balance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Opal Balance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Opal Balance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Opal Balance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Opal Balance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
13.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Opal Balance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Opal Balance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Opal Balance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Opal Balance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Opal Balance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Opal Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Opal Balance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Opal Balance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.6 M

Opal Balance Technical Analysis

Opal Balance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Opal Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Opal Balance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Opal Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Opal Balance Predictive Forecast Models

Opal Balance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Opal Balance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Opal Balance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Opal Balance

Checking the ongoing alerts about Opal Balance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Opal Balance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Opal Balance has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Opal Stock

Opal Balance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Opal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Opal with respect to the benefits of owning Opal Balance security.