Oracle Cdr Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.18
| ORAC Stock | 10.18 0.10 0.97% |
Oracle |
Oracle CDR Target Price Odds to finish over 10.18
The tendency of Oracle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.18 | 90 days | 10.18 | about 76.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oracle CDR to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 76.25 (This Oracle CDR probability density function shows the probability of Oracle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oracle CDR has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oracle CDR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oracle CDR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oracle CDR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oracle CDR Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oracle CDR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oracle CDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oracle CDR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oracle CDR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oracle CDR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oracle CDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oracle CDR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Oracle CDR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oracle CDR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oracle CDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oracle CDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oracle CDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Oracle CDR Technical Analysis
Oracle CDR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oracle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oracle CDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oracle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oracle CDR Predictive Forecast Models
Oracle CDR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oracle CDR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oracle CDR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oracle CDR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oracle CDR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oracle CDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oracle CDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Oracle CDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Oracle Stock
Oracle CDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oracle Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oracle with respect to the benefits of owning Oracle CDR security.