Orefinders Resources Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0482
| ORFDF Stock | USD 0.05 0 7.72% |
Orefinders |
Orefinders Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0482
The tendency of Orefinders OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.05 | over 95.9 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orefinders Resources to stay under $ 0.05 after 90 days from now is over 95.9 (This Orefinders Resources probability density function shows the probability of Orefinders OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orefinders Resources price to stay between its current price of $ 0.05 and $ 0.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orefinders Resources has a beta of -0.44. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Orefinders Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Orefinders Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Orefinders Resources has an alpha of 0.4914, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Orefinders Resources Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Orefinders Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orefinders Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orefinders Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orefinders Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orefinders Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orefinders Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orefinders Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orefinders Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Orefinders Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orefinders Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orefinders Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orefinders Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orefinders Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Orefinders Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orefinders Resources has accumulated about 6.45 M in cash with (2.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orefinders Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orefinders OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orefinders Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orefinders Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 247.2 M |
Orefinders Resources Technical Analysis
Orefinders Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orefinders OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orefinders Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orefinders OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orefinders Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Orefinders Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Orefinders Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orefinders Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orefinders Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orefinders Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orefinders Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orefinders Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orefinders Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Orefinders Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orefinders Resources has accumulated about 6.45 M in cash with (2.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03. | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Orefinders OTC Stock
Orefinders Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orefinders OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orefinders with respect to the benefits of owning Orefinders Resources security.