Orexo Ab Stock Odds of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 4.74

ORXOF Stock  USD 1.08  0.00  0.00%   
Orexo AB's future price is the expected price of Orexo AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Orexo AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Orexo AB Backtesting, Orexo AB Valuation, Orexo AB Correlation, Orexo AB Hype Analysis, Orexo AB Volatility, Orexo AB History as well as Orexo AB Performance.
  
Please specify Orexo AB's target price for which you would like Orexo AB odds to be computed.

Orexo AB Target Price Odds to finish over 4.74

The tendency of Orexo OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 4.74  or more in 90 days
 1.08 90 days 4.74 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orexo AB to move over $ 4.74  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Orexo AB probability density function shows the probability of Orexo OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orexo AB price to stay between its current price of $ 1.08  and $ 4.74  at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orexo AB has a beta of 0.54. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orexo AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Orexo AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Orexo AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Orexo AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orexo AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orexo AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.084.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.194.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.214.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.851.131.41
Details

Orexo AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orexo AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orexo AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orexo AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orexo AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Orexo AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orexo AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orexo AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orexo AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orexo AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Orexo AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 565 M. Net Loss for the year was (223.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 521.7 M.
Orexo AB has accumulated about 45.61 M in cash with (229 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Orexo AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orexo OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orexo AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orexo AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.3 M

Orexo AB Technical Analysis

Orexo AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orexo OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orexo AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orexo OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Orexo AB Predictive Forecast Models

Orexo AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orexo AB's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orexo AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Orexo AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orexo AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orexo AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orexo AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orexo AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Orexo AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 565 M. Net Loss for the year was (223.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 521.7 M.
Orexo AB has accumulated about 45.61 M in cash with (229 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.32, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Orexo OTC Stock

Orexo AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orexo OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orexo with respect to the benefits of owning Orexo AB security.