OtelloASA (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.6499
| OS3 Stock | EUR 0.66 0.01 1.54% |
OtelloASA |
OtelloASA Target Price Odds to finish over 0.6499
The tendency of OtelloASA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.65 in 90 days |
| 0.66 | 90 days | 0.65 | about 84.62 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OtelloASA to stay above € 0.65 in 90 days from now is about 84.62 (This Otello ASA probability density function shows the probability of OtelloASA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Otello ASA price to stay between € 0.65 and its current price of €0.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.12 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon OtelloASA has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OtelloASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Otello ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Otello ASA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OtelloASA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OtelloASA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otello ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OtelloASA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OtelloASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OtelloASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Otello ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OtelloASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
OtelloASA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OtelloASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Otello ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Otello ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otello ASA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OtelloASA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OtelloASA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OtelloASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OtelloASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.3 M |
OtelloASA Technical Analysis
OtelloASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OtelloASA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Otello ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing OtelloASA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OtelloASA Predictive Forecast Models
OtelloASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many OtelloASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OtelloASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Otello ASA
Checking the ongoing alerts about OtelloASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Otello ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Otello ASA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otello ASA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in OtelloASA Stock
OtelloASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether OtelloASA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OtelloASA with respect to the benefits of owning OtelloASA security.