OneSavings Bank (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 384.36

OSB Stock   402.40  5.20  1.31%   
OneSavings Bank's future price is the expected price of OneSavings Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of OneSavings Bank PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out OneSavings Bank Backtesting, OneSavings Bank Valuation, OneSavings Bank Correlation, OneSavings Bank Hype Analysis, OneSavings Bank Volatility, OneSavings Bank History as well as OneSavings Bank Performance.
  
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OneSavings Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 384.36

The tendency of OneSavings Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  384.36  in 90 days
 402.40 90 days 384.36 
about 28.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OneSavings Bank to stay above  384.36  in 90 days from now is about 28.68 (This OneSavings Bank PLC probability density function shows the probability of OneSavings Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OneSavings Bank PLC price to stay between  384.36  and its current price of 402.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OneSavings Bank has a beta of 0.0517. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OneSavings Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OneSavings Bank PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OneSavings Bank PLC has an alpha of 0.1261, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   OneSavings Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for OneSavings Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneSavings Bank PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
399.96401.47402.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
386.61388.12442.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
401.02402.53404.04
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

OneSavings Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OneSavings Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OneSavings Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OneSavings Bank PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OneSavings Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
11.05
Ir
Information ratio 0

OneSavings Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OneSavings Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OneSavings Bank PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

OneSavings Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OneSavings Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OneSavings Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneSavings Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding421.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

OneSavings Bank Technical Analysis

OneSavings Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OneSavings Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OneSavings Bank PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing OneSavings Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

OneSavings Bank Predictive Forecast Models

OneSavings Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many OneSavings Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OneSavings Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about OneSavings Bank PLC

Checking the ongoing alerts about OneSavings Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OneSavings Bank PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in OneSavings Stock

OneSavings Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether OneSavings Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in OneSavings with respect to the benefits of owning OneSavings Bank security.