Oconee Financial Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 42.90

OSBK Stock  USD 39.00  0.29  0.75%   
Oconee Financial's future price is the expected price of Oconee Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oconee Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oconee Financial Backtesting, Oconee Financial Valuation, Oconee Financial Correlation, Oconee Financial Hype Analysis, Oconee Financial Volatility, Oconee Financial History as well as Oconee Financial Performance.
  
Please specify Oconee Financial's target price for which you would like Oconee Financial odds to be computed.

Oconee Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 42.90

The tendency of Oconee OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 42.90  or more in 90 days
 39.00 90 days 42.90 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oconee Financial to move over $ 42.90  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Oconee Financial probability density function shows the probability of Oconee OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oconee Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 39.00  and $ 42.90  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.46 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oconee Financial has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oconee Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oconee Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oconee Financial has an alpha of 0.0854, implying that it can generate a 0.0854 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Oconee Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oconee Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oconee Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.4939.0039.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.1838.6939.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.8739.3739.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.3538.7939.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oconee Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oconee Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oconee Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oconee Financial.

Oconee Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oconee Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oconee Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oconee Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oconee Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Oconee Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oconee OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oconee Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oconee Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding897.5 K
Dividends Paid582.2 K
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.7
Shares Float377.1 K

Oconee Financial Technical Analysis

Oconee Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oconee OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oconee Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oconee OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oconee Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Oconee Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oconee Financial's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oconee Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oconee Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oconee Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oconee Financial options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Oconee OTC Stock

Oconee Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oconee OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oconee with respect to the benefits of owning Oconee Financial security.