Osceola Gold Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.031
| OSCI Stock | USD 0.03 0 12.12% |
Osceola |
Osceola Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.031
The tendency of Osceola Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 44.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Osceola Gold to stay under $ 0.03 after 90 days from now is about 44.4 (This Osceola Gold probability density function shows the probability of Osceola Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Osceola Gold price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03 and $ 0.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.18 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Osceola Gold has a beta of -2.49. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Osceola Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Osceola Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Osceola Gold has an alpha of 5.5554, implying that it can generate a 5.56 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Osceola Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Osceola Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osceola Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osceola Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Osceola Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Osceola Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Osceola Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Osceola Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Osceola Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Osceola Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Osceola Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Osceola Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Osceola Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Osceola Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Osceola Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Osceola Gold currently holds 2.08 M in liabilities. Osceola Gold has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Osceola Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Osceola Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Osceola Gold sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Osceola to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Osceola Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.4 K. Net Loss for the year was (930.83 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Osceola Gold currently holds about 20.23 M in cash with (36.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of -2.2988. |
Osceola Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Osceola Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Osceola Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Osceola Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 719.3 K |
Osceola Gold Technical Analysis
Osceola Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Osceola Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Osceola Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Osceola Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Osceola Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Osceola Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Osceola Gold's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Osceola Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Osceola Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Osceola Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Osceola Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Osceola Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Osceola Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Osceola Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Osceola Gold currently holds 2.08 M in liabilities. Osceola Gold has a current ratio of 0.19, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Osceola Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Osceola Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Osceola Gold sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Osceola to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Osceola Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 6.4 K. Net Loss for the year was (930.83 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Osceola Gold currently holds about 20.23 M in cash with (36.68 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of -2.2988. |
Other Information on Investing in Osceola Pink Sheet
Osceola Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osceola Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osceola with respect to the benefits of owning Osceola Gold security.