Onespaworld Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.04
| OSW Stock | USD 19.00 0.30 1.55% |
OneSpaWorld |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 18.04
The tendency of OneSpaWorld Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.04 or more in 90 days |
| 19.00 | 90 days | 18.04 | about 75.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OneSpaWorld Holdings to drop to $ 18.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.68 (This OneSpaWorld Holdings probability density function shows the probability of OneSpaWorld Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OneSpaWorld Holdings price to stay between $ 18.04 and its current price of $19.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.91 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OneSpaWorld Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally OneSpaWorld Holdings has an alpha of 0.1329, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OneSpaWorld Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for OneSpaWorld Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneSpaWorld Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OneSpaWorld Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OneSpaWorld Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OneSpaWorld Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OneSpaWorld Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OneSpaWorld Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OneSpaWorld Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OneSpaWorld Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OneSpaWorld Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 794.04 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 47.74 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OneSpaWorld Stock Rises 11 percent in a Month Buy, Sell or Hold |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OneSpaWorld Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OneSpaWorld Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneSpaWorld Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 97.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.7 M |
OneSpaWorld Holdings Technical Analysis
OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OneSpaWorld Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OneSpaWorld Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing OneSpaWorld Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OneSpaWorld Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
OneSpaWorld Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many OneSpaWorld Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OneSpaWorld Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OneSpaWorld Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about OneSpaWorld Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OneSpaWorld Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 794.04 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.97 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 47.74 M. | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OneSpaWorld Stock Rises 11 percent in a Month Buy, Sell or Hold |
Additional Tools for OneSpaWorld Stock Analysis
When running OneSpaWorld Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OneSpaWorld Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OneSpaWorld Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OneSpaWorld Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OneSpaWorld Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OneSpaWorld Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OneSpaWorld Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.