OSX Brasil (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.04
| OSXB3 Stock | BRL 4.35 0.09 2.03% |
OSX |
OSX Brasil Target Price Odds to finish below 4.04
The tendency of OSX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 4.04 or more in 90 days |
| 4.35 | 90 days | 4.04 | about 23.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OSX Brasil to drop to R$ 4.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 23.16 (This OSX Brasil SA probability density function shows the probability of OSX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OSX Brasil SA price to stay between R$ 4.04 and its current price of R$4.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OSX Brasil has a beta of 0.8. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OSX Brasil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OSX Brasil SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OSX Brasil SA has an alpha of 0.1395, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OSX Brasil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OSX Brasil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSX Brasil SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OSX Brasil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OSX Brasil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OSX Brasil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OSX Brasil SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OSX Brasil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
OSX Brasil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OSX Brasil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OSX Brasil SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OSX Brasil SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| OSX Brasil SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| OSX Brasil SA has accumulated 5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.28, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. OSX Brasil SA has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist OSX Brasil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OSX Brasil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OSX Brasil SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OSX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OSX Brasil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 64.0% of OSX Brasil outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OSX Brasil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OSX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OSX Brasil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSX Brasil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
OSX Brasil Technical Analysis
OSX Brasil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OSX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OSX Brasil SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing OSX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OSX Brasil Predictive Forecast Models
OSX Brasil's time-series forecasting models is one of many OSX Brasil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OSX Brasil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OSX Brasil SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about OSX Brasil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OSX Brasil SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OSX Brasil SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| OSX Brasil SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| OSX Brasil SA has accumulated 5 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.28, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. OSX Brasil SA has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist OSX Brasil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OSX Brasil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OSX Brasil SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OSX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OSX Brasil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 64.0% of OSX Brasil outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for OSX Stock Analysis
When running OSX Brasil's price analysis, check to measure OSX Brasil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OSX Brasil is operating at the current time. Most of OSX Brasil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OSX Brasil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OSX Brasil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OSX Brasil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.