Otg Latin America Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 5.81
| OTGAX Fund | USD 7.82 0.12 1.51% |
Otg |
Otg Latin Target Price Odds to finish below 5.81
The tendency of Otg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.81 or more in 90 days |
| 7.82 | 90 days | 5.81 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Otg Latin to drop to $ 5.81 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Otg Latin America probability density function shows the probability of Otg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Otg Latin America price to stay between $ 5.81 and its current price of $7.82 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Otg Latin has a beta of 0.38. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Otg Latin average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Otg Latin America will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Otg Latin America has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Otg Latin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Otg Latin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otg Latin America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Otg Latin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Otg Latin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Otg Latin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Otg Latin America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Otg Latin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Otg Latin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Otg Latin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Otg Latin America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Otg Latin America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| Otg Latin America maintains about 36.62% of its assets in cash |
Otg Latin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Otg Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Otg Latin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Otg Latin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Otg Latin Technical Analysis
Otg Latin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Otg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Otg Latin America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Otg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Otg Latin Predictive Forecast Models
Otg Latin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Otg Latin's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Otg Latin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Otg Latin America
Checking the ongoing alerts about Otg Latin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Otg Latin America help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Otg Latin America generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| Otg Latin America maintains about 36.62% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Otg Mutual Fund
Otg Latin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Otg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Otg with respect to the benefits of owning Otg Latin security.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world |